2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: Harris +3 Iowa in final Selzer Poll

I had no idea the guy that wrote the weekly dick joke jamboroo for Deadspin wrote about politics now

https://x.com/tonyposnanski/status/1815876284515254392

I’m not sure how much of this is fake but…

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For whatever it’s worth, Biden never said he’d specifically pick a black woman for VP. He did commit to nominating a black woman to SCOTUS if given the opportunity.

Not seeing the big change I was hoping to see in polls

https://x.com/csilverandgold/status/1816238417291927651?s=46&t=N0_fcOKIYYmlCS2e4YShsQ

It’s been like 3 days and already have had several polls more optimistic than overall Biden trend? Were you hoping for a 10 point swing this week or something.

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This. Also, a big part of the upside of switching is having someone who can coherently make a case for themselves and against Trump, and energize volunteers and donors. That takes time to translate to polling and votes, but we’ve seen that those elements are in play.

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Just watched Bidens speech tonight. It was fine, but hoo boy did it make it very clear how much better Kamala can campaign against Trump than Biden. We dodged a bull…err shard of glass with Biden dropping out and giving us some hope.

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I was expecting relief that Biden was gone, not actual excitement about Kamala.

Sweet Summer Child and all that, but if the under 30 crowd actually shows up, an Obama 08 style beatdown is not impossible.

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I think our good long tail outcomes are even better than this.

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Let’s not get too optimistic yet. It’s much more hopeful than where we were, but there’s a long way to go to get to Obama level beatdowns or beyond.

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Yeah the words are great but his delivery lulling me to sleep but if Harris was up there I would probably be on her website donating

Counterpoint: post-convention, the convention party, conventionally, gets a convention bounce that typically fades to a degree in a week or two, but that can also yield some enduring change. Kamala has sabotaged the shit out of that, and she may still get a convention bump of her own.

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I don’t think anyone banking on a great outcome it’s just now it’s in realm of possible outcomes. It sure feels like Biden’s ceiling outcome is Harris floor outcome. So if things stagnate still going to lose, but her ceiling is just so much higher

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I said long tail!

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lmao, skill issue. :coolbiden: outplayed the shit out of Obama with that

Yeah I don’t really buy that Obama wanted Kelly, nor do I buy that Obama is furious. Didn’t he avoid endorsing until it was sewn up in 2016 and 2020 as well?

In other news…

https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1816288577342369995

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How could anyone possibly fact check this?

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https://x.com/theliamnissan/status/1816196721489121668?s=46

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