2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: Harris +3 Iowa in final Selzer Poll

Isn’t he super anti-Semitic though? Not that that precludes a pro-Israel stance of course.

Yep, pretty sure he’s that too. I didn’t dig in to see how he finagles the crazy to arrive at that.

RFK is never going to get traction as long as the media continues to identify him primarily as an “anti-vax activist”.

Even if he’s too crazy to know this, surely he has advisors who are doing everything possible to change the framing to emphasize the popular stuff and back-burner the conspiracy theories. :harold:

(portman meme.gif)

RFK’s never going to poll high enough to qualify for the debates, right?

I’m pretty sure he’s polling high enough to qualify for the debates right now.. Not sure if the debate criteria has been set yet though.

15% is the standard. Biden should never allow that clown on stage as well.

https://x.com/paste_horse/status/1768296743618183438?s=20

lol, if only. We hold children to far higher standards of politeness and decency.

2 Likes

OK has anyone else been following this “Crosstab truther” stuff on twitter? Basically tons of polls look like this:

https://x.com/admcrlsn/status/1768358089458127069?s=20

Note how Biden struggles with younger voters, but kills it in older voters. That doesn’t seem to make any sense at all. It’s not one poll either.

At first I thought it had to be bad polls, but there are a lot of them now so there’s a significant chance this is a real thing. If it’s real, there is one reason that should make a lot of sense if you think about it.

What is that?

Also

https://x.com/USA_Polling/status/1768316618285744513?s=20

My money is young people expressing displeasure or “protest” about treatment of Gaza but they will still come around for the real election.

Young people are struggling a lot more than older people right now.

I refuse to believe that young people are stupid enough to vote for Trump because they care about Palestinians.

Polling young people seems to just be way off. Don’t trust that olds are voting for Biden either. Biden won younger voters 60-36 and lost older voters 47-52 in 2020. No way these flipped.

Would love to see what polls they’re using, because I’ve been keeping an eye on 538 and it’s not looking much better. I expected a SOTU bounce but it seems to have been a non-factor.

Voting for Trump and telling a pollster you would are completely different. It’s perfectly logical to lie to the pollster to pressure Biden to do what you want

I refuse to believe a group of people who don’t answer their phones in the first place are smart and coordinated enough to do this en masse.

1 Like

Apparently the weigh their polls and average them, but don’t report how they do that… seems fishy.

https://x.com/latimes/status/1768454832015179789?s=46&t=XGja5BtSraUljl_WWUrIUg