Biden stays, we get our ass beat. Biden goes, we get our ass beat.
Certainly I’m happy with the later and not the former, but we’ve all been mainlining copium when deep down I just kind of know that the country is cooked and that this is just kind of who we are now and what we want.
Still better to sweat a 40-60 flip than a 0% beatdown tho!
Wait did NYT have Harris in AZ going from +5 to -5 in a month where she has had good pump overall? Not saying to ignore it but is there any sort of AZ specific explanation that would fit that much change being real? I assume it’s just that first poll was too favorable to Harris and second to Trump so the real difference much smaller
There can’t be a real explanation. The real answer is some kind of error/variance. Which way we don’t know (or something in the middle).
But I’m sure their will be many words written by the NYT treating the swing as NEWS.
Harris normalizing to generic Dem numbers in the swing states would put this on ice. Running one point behind those Senate candidates would be amazing.
A statistical tie with +/- 5% variance in each poll would make a lot of sense. But if the Senate polling didn’t also swing, I don’t know wtf is going on. Maybe Lake is so well known and defined that her numbers are basically locked in, but Harris isn’t?
Nobody will remember this in a week besides John Deere workers maybe. The truth is he does one of these ‘would be major news if someone else did it’ fuck ups every single day. Unless this goes massively massively viral somehow this isn’t going to be the fuck up of the week™.