That’s a massive massive difference that I do not believe would have held until November. Enthusiasm in July in a normal election is not really comparable to what is possibly the equivalent of a convention bump.
Remember too that this demographic shift worked in Bidens favor with olds. Don’t believe that either.
This was a repeat election, and with that I thought there was no way it would be a realignment election.
No fucking idea now, but early returns look good. I worry about the enthusiasm fading.
I haven’t said anything generally about polls after Harris ffs. There’s basically nothing to comment on.
I believe that too, pretty sure we saw that play out in 2020.
Some of us have been arguing that we’ve been going through a realignment since 2016. Working class whites moving to the GOP, older moderates towards Dems, college educated whites towards Dems. For that to continue with working class minorities moving towards the GOP is plausible, likewise for young voters moving away from the octogenarian who’s getting the old vote.
The key is to hold as many of those older whites in the Blue Wall as possible, while getting the young voters and voters of color who were flirting with the GOP back.
We have the issues to do so, and now a candidate who can do so.
Whatever the polls say today, they only get better from here. There’s going to be a VP bump, then there’s going to be a convention bump, then there’s going to be a debate ass kicking bump, then we’re going to the White House! (Howard Dean scream here)
Seriously though, I think barring an October surprise, this is the polling floor. Only question electorally is do we get outside the martin of error, in particular in the swing states?
Yeah she’s not Obama but Obama never got to run against Trump. She’s definitely got a bigger candidate gap than Obama ever got and the contrast is profound.
I assume she’s probably pretty smart right? She doesn’t really read stupid to me. Has a JD and stuff, I dunno. Just don’t see how the whole “unqualified DEI handout” thing works here. jk it’s code for the n word.
No thanks. You’ve been the worst poster ITT since the debate you didn’t watch. Now we’ve gone from “Ikes doesn’t believe any polls” to “omg Kamala polls”.
