(No idea)
1 Like
Market makers with the ol rope a dope.
Polls are kinda all over, but generally better for Biden
Do these new polls have the same age split as a lot of the old polls?
(Namely, Biden doing very well with olds but Trump winning the under 30 crowd handily)
I only check cross tabs of polls I don’t like.
3 Likes
I’ve yet to see a poll that doesn’t show this
Here’s hoping that long awaited youth vote that never actually materializes continues not materializing I guess…
I’m not worried at all about the idea of young people moving to Trump in an unprecedented way.
I’m not really either, but mostly because young people don’t vote.
538 poll tracking has Biden’s approval rating up 2 percent (from 38 to 40) since the SOTU:
So I can’t find the tweet that made me look into this, but the big problem with polling right now is:
- 90%+ of 2020 Biden and Trump voters are voting for the same person they voted for in 2020.
- Young people going to Trump at historic margins (Biden won 60-36 in 2020) while Biden is beating Trump with older voters, who Trump won 52-47.
- Blacks and Hispanics voting for Trump at massive margins
Essentially polling is suggesting a massive realignment of voters, but all the 2020 voters are staying the same? That doesn’t make sense, something is broken.
While I could buy that Biden is squeaking out a 5-10 point win with older voters due to Trumps social security shit, there’s no way I buy Trump suddenly killing it with younger voters and minorities. Zero chance that is true. Biden is still undervalued. You’ll note that Newsom is still at 5%, which is also way too high. It’s 53% dem win, 46% republican, 6% predictit morons.
https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1772257446238531750?s=20
there’s no way 17% of voters even know who RFK Jr is
1 Like
You HAVE to read the replies on that
1 Like
No, but they know his last name!