A post was merged into an existing topic: Lol Mark Robinson: Major Scandal about to drop in NC Gubernatorial Race
I knew NC was getting more cosmopolitan, but I honestly thought it wouldn’t be winnable for Dems until 2028.
Uhhhh probably fools gold here
https://x.com/ppollingnumbers/status/1836875827348156717?s=46&t=N0_fcOKIYYmlCS2e4YShsQ
Not falling for this but if that somehow happened it would feel better than I imagine heroin feels
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I would assume that this is an outlier and it’s Cruz +3 or something.
Most likely.
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you do not, under any circumstances, gotta hand it to matt drudge
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Nate has Harris officially ahead today
So the Dems stood down in Maine, despite knowing that the deadline to change Maine’s one electoral vote district was earlier than Nebraska’s? So now Republicans can change it there and Dems can’t respond?
Cool, cool.
If that changes, Kamala’s most likely path to 270 (Blue Wall) becomes a path to 269 and a Trump victory. Forces her to win another whole state, which probably widens the EC/popular vote gap.
Very curious how much this would shift equity in the models - 5% to 10% towards Trump?
Far less than that imo.
There’s basically only one plausible scenario for a 270-268 map (which would turn into a 269-269 loss) that I see. I can’t imagine it’s any more than a 1% change in equity.
Still not zero (and therefore very not good) though.
Huh?
Fact check: 12 completely fictional stories Trump has told in the last month
(Daniel Dale)
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/19/politics/fact-check-donald-trump-fictional-stories/index.html
We need more of this from the media.
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Maine and North Carolina each have one district that usually goes the opposite way of the state and gets a separate electoral vote. Maine’s is rural and basically an auto EV for the GOP, Nebraska’s is Omaha and leans left pretty significantly.
Maine has a deadline, as it takes new laws 90 days to take effect. Nebraska has a shorter or maybe no deadline.
Nebraska Republicans started talking about changing the state to winner take all, so Maine Dems said they’d retaliate to keep things even. Republicans shut up about it, Dems decided it was over, and as soon as the Maine deadline passed Nebraska Republicans started discussing it again.
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Ah, thanks for the context. I didn’t know what you were referring to.
It’s probably one of, if not the, most likely combo though.
Got my early voting complete in what would normally be a swing state but thanks to coconut vibes I’m just running up the score.
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I am going to have the mail-in ballot ready to go but prefer to vote day of.
My work travel looks like it’s breaking for me to be at home on Election Day.