Looking for Trump in Oregon’s Voters’ Pamphlet? You won’t find him.
Trump’s campaign also declined to appear in Oregon’s Voters’ Pamphlet ahead of the May primary.
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One less time I will see the orange fuck
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oregonlive – 3 Sep 24
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Yeah I mean on the scale of 0 to 10, 10 being pants on fire, 0 being true, calling him a cop killer is like a 3. The GOP lives at 12.
The polling lately has been trending back the other way.
True but the polling has softened since the convention.
This one’s pretty good:
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1831197433117749423?t=eil4sXsvWyX33vR3DG-9mg&s=19
Probably an EC loss here:
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1831347912816656615?t=X4PVQwDoH4OuoY5_tMeCsw&s=19
NC nut job within 4???
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1831195020180738552?t=ud5YrNQ6TFGx19nduoH8kw&s=19
Pretty good, I like the attack on Trump giving tax cuts to price gougers. That kind of talk should help us in the “who do you trust on the economy/inflation” numbers.
https://x.com/KamalaHarris/status/1830981698818843042
This is good, if implemented well (big concerns if not):
Using Black Rock alums for economic policy seems concerning, but one of them was involved in the Biden stimulus bills, so maybe it’s ok. Benefit of the doubt to Kamala, who has so far made great decisions on personnel matters (at least the public facing ones we’re aware of).
+5 in PA is more than “pretty good” IMO
On top of the rumblings of Trump pulling ad spend out of New Hampshire, Axios reports that he’s spending in North Carolina for the first time.
If this can be trusted, I’d overall consider it to be good signs:
https://x.com/AdImpact_Pol/status/1829613830281801803
Trump barely spending in MI and WI seems like a concession that those are going our way, it’s inconceivable that they’re Trump blowouts. PA and GA spending makes sense. On the other hand, my guess is AZ/NV/NC are not looking great for us in the campaign’s internals given the lower Trump spending there, but the fact that we’ve forced them into NC is good. This is a sign that they feel the need to play some defense against the scenario where they win PA but lose GA and NC to swing it the other way.
Here’s August spending for comparison:
https://x.com/AdImpact_Pol/status/1830615124404531456
So, again, if this is accurate the fact that Trump has cut his spending significantly in MI and WI is a tremendous sign. Meanwhile he’s been outspending 2-to-1 in NC (seems to contradict the Axios report, unless that’s based on the August data), Dems need to step it up there.
Total battleground spending reservations:
The numbers are excellent, the pollster is like C+ iirc though, so I hesitate to get as excited as I would if YouGov popped up with numbers like that. The higher rated pollster has the race closer, which is concerning.
A forensic accounting of all the money Trump has raised would be tremendous content, dude has to be straight up stealing at least half the cash.
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Gotta include the grifts, too. That money is coming out of the MAGA community and could otherwise go into the campaign. Stuff like the $99 coffee table book, the sneakers, etc. (Wonder how much of this shit the campaign is buying and giving away to get the money into the “right” hands?)
Nate seems little testy in update today, wonder if he feeling dumb about the convention thing that he trying to play up polling not being great because seems overly pessimistic compared to those CNN numbers
https://x.com/admcrlsn/status/1831396109341839435?s=46&t=N0_fcOKIYYmlCS2e4YShsQ
https://x.com/admcrlsn/status/1831398428720689258?s=46&t=N0_fcOKIYYmlCS2e4YShsQ
I’m about over lol poles at this point. Nate is suddenly considering garbage right wing stuff and ignoring decent polls. 
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The last time I remember him explicitly ignoring the data and going on feels is when he was all-in on the “Trump can’t win the primary” take in 2016. Seems bullish for Harris.
This is cool for the 0.5% of GOP voters who still look to shitheads like the Cheneys for their moral compass, I guess
lol this is amazing
It’s out of context! And he’s so tired from working super, duper, ultra mega hard that he’s allowed to slip up sometimes! It’s fine for someone his age who has worked as hard as he has for as long as he has! You wouldn’t understand.