This feels kind of like Jim Cramer just called the race for Kamala.
So we’re now at the point where we ignore good poll results and cling to bad results?
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You’re referring to Quinnipiac as the good results?
Been doing it about the economy the past year with good results might as well keep it going
lol it’s full silly season time
https://x.com/malcontentmentt/status/1849263731169251474?s=46&t=N0_fcOKIYYmlCS2e4YShsQ
Whatever happens I know I’ll be let down, I just hope it’s at least really funny
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It’s going to be this:
No way someone signed an NDA with a major news organization and then tweeted that out.
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No.
Here’s the thing. Even if Kamala gets more votes in TX, there is absolutely no way the powers that be in TX aren’t going to “find” enough votes to get Trump through.
I’m old enough to remember Ann Richards winning a gubernatorial election in TX. Seems like if we ran that election back today and her opponent comes out with a “rape is NBD” hot take, he still comfortably ships it.
https://x.com/kristenorthman/status/1849289736268964005?s=46&t=ECIc-ET7JxxiLXr8SgrQ7Q
For people who don’t know WI politics this is a pretty shocking endorsement. Waukesha is a super red suburb of Milwaukee.
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I’m not referring to anything in particular. We’re getting polls both ways that are well within MOE. I’m just going to SSC it up and claim victory until we lose.
lol duh
Also news organizations don’t outsource verification to “Malcontent News,” but also duh.
Did anyone watch the Town Hall? Apparently Bash and Tapper are saying she bombed?
Inso0 in shambles
“Mmm, sweet can…”
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This looks really bad. Nevada is a longshot now, which probably means we’re a sizable dog in Arizona too.
Thread on NC early vote. Cliffs: 2024 early vote is more Republican than the final 2020 vote. White vote is up, black voter is down.
https://x.com/BowTiePolitics/status/1849110342598635536?t=18Z9gVrQVfSY9X5AGkSwxw&s=19
Hard to interpret this as anything other than bad news, and GA has consistently polled worse than NC so not great.
Trump +1 in the last F&M poll of Pennsylvania in likely voters. Kamala +4 among registered voters. That LV screen seems counter intuitive, but they’re a good pollster.
https://x.com/blockedfreq/status/1849310967680606348?t=RR1luAFp6nLKkNa2G-L84Q&s=19
One thing that Trump is incredibly at that Dems have failed at repeatedly since Obama is just hammering his top few talking points. If you asked the average person what Trump is for, they’d know exactly what he’s for:
- Deporting like 20M brown people
- Ending wokeness
- No tax on tips, social security, or overtime
- Ending inflation
If you asked the average person what Kamala is for, you’d get:
- Abortion
I’m not sure you’d get anything else.
The reality is that Kamala’s policies are far better for like 90% of voters economically, but a lot of those voters think Trump would be better.
Overall I think she’s run a good campaign, but the last few weeks I think she’s been kind of flailing. A lot of this has to do with getting the media to cover her policies too, I’m sure, and Trump is elite at that too.
At this point I think she’s got about 30% equity in each of NV, AZ, NC, GA, and there’s a lot of correlation there.
I think she’s a small underdog in the blue wall states, and at this point the Polymarket price looks pretty reasonable overall at 61-39 for Trump.