Invasion of Ukraine: Why Doesn't Russia Concede Kursk and Negotiate Peace?

Obviously here are ways to spend the $60B to get more or less value out of it and Ukraine will try to address their needs with that in mind. As pvn pointed out most of the money is going to be spent in the US. Some of the ATACMS that are sent to Ukraine would otherwise have to be decommissioned. The US might actually be saving money by giving them away while providing desperately needed long range capabilities to Ukraine.

No, I believe foreign aid is not popular during a recession even if it drives US jobs. Low info voters won’t make the connection and will also be like “if we have so many problems here, why are we sending our money to solve other countries’ problems?”

This is already the sort of thing I hear when I go to visit family in Pennsylvania, from those I would consider low info non-MAGA Republican types. It’s the type of message that resonates with swing voters in the suburbs too if their own economic fortunes deteriorate.

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https://x.com/OSINTua/status/1794659101328486531

Russians fire about 500 artillery shells per hour or about 5000 in one day on just one part of the front. It pisses me off tremendously every time I read “[country] will provide Ukraine with ~100k artillery shells until the end of the year”. Great, that’s enough for a week. What’s Ukraine supposed to do the rest of the year? Oh, another country will also provide ~70k shells". Cool, only 50 more weeks to go.

Do the fuckers in charge ever really consider what it means if Russia wins and gobbles Ukraine into its empire?

I had a bunch of tldr bunch of blather, decided to delete it and post this relatively recent (5/7/24?) and interesting conference

Was wondering with the Russia advantage on shells, is it expected they can indefinitely keep that up with productions by themselves or allies or they burning through supply that unlikely to be adequately replenished quickly? The tone of articles lately make it feel like they could do it indefinitely but not sure I seen addressed specifically

The Economist has an article about European shell production. They plan to increase it to 1.4 million per year though up to now they have overpromised and underdelivered every time. A while ago reports talked about Russians firing ~20k shells per day which could be replenished by the equivalent of half the planned European production.
With the help of North Korea, Iran, China and others Russia might be able to keep up their firing rate for the foreseeable future.

https://archive.ph/TyyeL

Russia needs artillery though to fire those shells and barrels only have a limited amount of shots before due to wear and tear they become too inaccurate or completely break. It’s doubtful they will be able to produve those in sufficient quantities. Once they have used up their existing stocks Russia’s artillery capabilities will diminish. The $64000 question is if that happens before Ukraine’s defenses collapse.

https://x.com/officejjsmart/status/1795909242345468110

Great news, everyone.

In about a year Belgium will start producing 1.5 days worth of artillery shells annually. Ukraine is saved if they can hold on until 2026.

https://x.com/ColbyBadhwar/status/1796038426719908189?t=T_7xBtQibsJR3gwvSqdWvQ&s=19

I wish she were able to make Scholz understand this.

https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1797988759369318520

What it means to be a P.O.W. in Russia:

https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1798016688547397657

Looks like it’s open (window) season again:

https://x.com/officejjsmart/status/1798726580577226799

Weird that falling out of windows seems to be such a problem in this one country.

Man, I would never go up to even the second floor anywhere in Russia.

Not even if someone invites you over for tea?

South Korea gets a pass but what the hell USA, Greece and Spain?

https://x.com/Tendar/status/1799496523631239455

That’s pretty impressive from Germany standpoint. Feels like lot of articles I see have an underlying tone that Germany maybe not particularly supportive of Ukraine but those numbers don’t seem to lie

Germany is the second largest supporter in absolute terms but only 15th when measured in percentage of GDP (the US is 16th).
Fair criticism is that all this support only comes after long, unnecessary delays, critical weapon systems like Taurus aren’t provided at all and Ukraine wasn’t allowed to use German weapons on Russian territory.