I think all social media is like that now. Right wing rage travels faster and easier, always.
This is where Iâm at with it too. After that SOTU performance I think itâs time to maybe start accepting that the reason Bidenâs made consistently good decisions in tough spots since becoming president is because, thankfully, heâs the good version of an old person who is still 90%+ there and has maxed out certain skills through pure repetition. When youâre really good at something you can lose a step and still be good at it.
Iâm going to need to see impairment actually affect the way he does his job to accept impairment as an argument from anyone going forward. They gotta supply something more than Biden stumbling over his words or confusing morning for afternoon or something. Those are things normal humans do many times per day if they are honest with themselves⌠and those normal humans arenât trying to juggle all the balls a PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES has to keep aloft.
Weâre at a point where all the footage that gets shown of both candidates is entirely slanted. We get occasional clips of Trump behaving like a normal person, which are cut out of the context to hide the raw batshit crazy⌠and every single time Biden stumbles or fumbles his words cut out of an ocean of footage of him seeming generally pretty capable.
That is happening because the media makes billions of dollars on the close horse race portrayal of this story, and your anxiety gives them clicks. Theyâre literally farming us right now, and I do mean us. This isnât some evil plot or conspiracy, they donât have to all be in agreement about doing it this way because not all of them are. Theyâre doing it because thatâs how the cookie crumbles when they do their job and hit their quarterly numbers.
The low poll numbers, to the degree they are accurate which is questionable because of the many opportunities for sampling bias, are a reflection of the very narrative the media has been pushing for the last 3 years because it drives clicks⌠and thatâs before taking into account the pollsters incentive to produce polls that are newsworthy aka generate clicks.
Fortunately Iâm beginning to see that Biden has been aware of this narrative the whole time, and seems to have exploited it to drive expectations very low. Realizing that weâre witnessing yet another violent rope a dope move I am suddenly even more calm about this election than I already was.
Itâs every non poll data point that is pointing away from the GOP being competitive this cycle. Every single one. Demographically theyâre worse off than they were and declining. In terms of cash they are fully and entirely fucked, thereâs no amount of money the Trumps wouldnât steal so itâs fully good game on that, not to mention the fact that theyâve been strip mining their small dollar donor base since Trump took office in 2016⌠and the big donors (including Murdoch) hate Donald. In terms of candidate quality Trump is a much worse candidate than Biden. Theyâve underperformed every election since 2016 and 2024 is looking like it will probably be worse not better thanks to even more insane actual war on women stuff. Trump won white women in 2016.
If the Democrats lose this it really is time for accelerationism and the likely end of the US as a superpower. If that happens⌠yeah worrying about that for the next 8 months seems terrible for my health.
The difference between âsupplyâ" and âquantity suppliedâ is like week 1 of Econ 101. Thatâs why it was so funny. I was probably wrong to call it nittery. Itâs like the 2+2=4 of basic macroeconomics.
This thread needs moar Joe eating icecream cones while pumping iron and less everything else IMO
8 posts were merged into an existing topic: Arguing about whether the economy is in fact good or bad
4 posts were merged into an existing topic: Arguing about whether the economy is in fact good or bad
This constant bickering infused with personal attacks is getting old and you should knock it off.
I moved a bunch of these posts to their own thread. Iâm not going to go back and move the several hundred older posts, but please take discussion/arguments over the economy to the new thread located here: Arguing about whether the economy is in fact good or bad. Feel free to come up with a better thread title.
I thought they were actually releasing the student debt relief plan today, but it was just a broad summary of it. The actual draft of the plan will be released in the âcoming monthsâ and then be open for public comment. Then itâll go through the court system.
Seems like theyâre trying to time it so that it gets shot down by SCOTUS next summer. Iâm guessing itâll be August before they try to put it into effect, and around a year after that when SCOTUS blocks it.
This is fairly annoying personally because Iâm pretty sure weâre going to be in the 25-35% of people who qualified under the blocked plan who wonât qualify under the new plan, and itâs annoying closely following the news and expecting details and not getting them. As of a week or two ago, it sounded like weâd be in. Now it sounds like weâre out.
It wonât affect my vote either way, but it seems suboptimal to disappoint 10-15 million people to the tune of $20K 90 days before the election.
What? Youâre going to be making >240k? Welcome to the 1%!
Barely a quarter of the way there hilariously. To be in the top 1% in 2022 (itâs for sure higher now) you had to make 786k.
Oh damn. Fuck me im not even there
Also the last time they did this they used 2019/2020 incomes. I qualified for the last round despite being over the limit. Still havenât recertified my student loan income because of that
I think itâs significantly lower if you take out one time stuff like selling a business or a big capital gain.
For some reason Iâm going to reply to this, even though youâre obviously trolling me now. My wifeâs about to graduate with around $20K in student loans, I believe theyâre all in the ballpark of 5% interest. The SAVE plan will require us to pay 5% of any income over $46K for 10 years before being eligible for forgiveness.
This loan calculator says 10 years at 5% would be monthly payments of $212.13, which is $2,545.56 per year.
20x that is $50,911.2, so anyone making about $51K over 225% of the poverty line would pay these loans off in full with no forgiveness under the new plan. That means anyone making over $96,900 or so as a family of two would pay the loan off in full with no forgiveness. Thatâs probably around the 60th percentile.
Previously we would have qualified based on her getting Pell grants, and possibly under one or more other measures of income that they were reportedly considering using.
Itâs been a while but Iâm fairly certain youâve got a large error in there somewhere. My recollection is itâs something like five percent of your salary that is above some large multiplier of the poverty level to calculate âdiscretionary income.â
Yeah 225% I think. Poverty level for 2024 for a family of two is $20,440 so 2.25x = $45,990. So 5% of everything over that. I would love to be wrong, but I donât think so.
Have you run the calculations for married filing separately?