2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: Debate Night - Walz vs Weirdo

Biden has had one of the worst couple week stretches of any sitting president electorally so in my mind the polling makes sense. It will be interesting to see now that the decision to stay in the race seems to be made if he snaps back somehow from this. He was losing all the swing states or effectively tied prior to the debate though so he needs to exceed that position to actually win. Does the news cycle move on or is it going to focus on this issue for 4 months?

Hard to see that happening but a lot can happen in 4 months.

I don’t believe he’s going to lose Wisconsin either

I hope you’re right, I’m still worried about Washington, Oregon and NJ.

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I’m more worried about the Senate, the GOP getting a trifecta with 60 in the Senate is the horror show to end all horror shows.

The night of the debate I think I said “Trump stays flat or gains a point, Biden loses ~6 points.”

And here we are. So yeah the polling makes sense, and it’s wishcasting to say he won’t run way behind our decent Senate candidates.

No Republican is going to step in front of a camera the next four months without saying, “Old man bad.”

So it’ll force the coverage.

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Meh, if they have a trifecta and less than 60 they’ll nuke the filibuster to get their agenda through. Nationwide abortion ban will just be the start. Honestly I wouldn’t be surprised to see them do something like divide Wyoming into 10 states to get more senators locked in forever.

Hi! I’m alive and well.

The party, unfortunately, foreclosed this possibility in 2020. And Biden’s decline was completely foreseeable then. Like I’m sorry, but the Democrats deserve to lose this election. It is, of course, a shame that the only person in a position to deliver that comeuppance is Trump.

To be honest, many of the calls for Biden to step aside scan to me as veiled expressions of a preference for Trump as head administrator of the present stage of capitalism (I remain skeptical of claims that this is a “late stage” of capitalism–there is scant, if any, evidence of its decline).

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https://x.com/Redistrict/status/1810787418574098899?t=iL4W-S_sP8zutUw7q05WwQ&s=19

I mean, if they nuke the filibuster at least that’s done if we ever retake control (unlikely).

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If by “done” you mean “Dems will campaign on restoring it”, sure.

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Realistically they shouldn’t need to. They can pass tax cuts with 51 votes already which is basically their whole agenda. Anything else DJT can just do by executive fiat and SCOTUS will allow it.

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https://x.com/loganr2wh/status/1810807259296870552?s=46&t=N0_fcOKIYYmlCS2e4YShsQ

Hmm, never heard of that model, let me look that guy up, I thought to myself.

Logan founded RacetotheWH when he was a graduate student at Columbia. He started building the foundation for the website during his Presidential Campaign Management class taught by Professor Karrine Jeanne Pierre, who would later become President Biden’s Press Secretary.

Pretty sure it’s basically an average of polls

https://x.com/acyn/status/1810841967309509064?s=46&t=N0_fcOKIYYmlCS2e4YShsQ

That’s, uh, not good.

And it’s one of the more favorable ones for Biden I’ve seen recently.

Am I the only one who finds it bizarre how many statements from various Ds seem to amount to “yeah there some big concerns and we probably fucked but we not doing anything about it”

Like I get they may feel they can’t or won’t do anything about it but in that case why not trot out something more optimistic?

Apparently big poll came out that affects all other polls. The demographics they collect are used by a ton of people

https://x.com/gelliottmorris/status/1810860629051461843?s=46&t=N0_fcOKIYYmlCS2e4YShsQ

I routinely work with this age group. I teach and mentor this age group. Ain’t no fucking way

https://x.com/noliewithbtc/status/1810854084544712831?s=46&t=N0_fcOKIYYmlCS2e4YShsQ

Good article on why the 538 model still has Biden at 48% to win.